NWMLS Press Release (1/7/13): Local Real Estate Markets Brisk For A December, Even With Seasonal Slowing

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The Northwest Multiple Listing Service sent out their monthly press release on Jan. 7th 2013. Below are details from the release, including the 4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales Table. To read the press release in its entirely, click here.

Home buyers around western Washington made offers on 5,314 residences during December, outnumbering the 3,857 owners who listed their homes for sale. The imbalance helped push up prices and further thin already depleted inventory.

While the expected seasonal slowdown occurred last month, determined buyers were undaunted by sparse inventory and record-breaking rainy days, according to December statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

MLS members reported 5,314 pending sales of single family homes and condominiums last month for a modest year-over-year increase of 1.5 percent. That volume of mutually accepted offers fell from November’s total of 6,522, but far exceeded the number of new listings, 3,857, that members added to the MLS system during December. It also marked an unprecedented fourth straight month when pending sales outnumbered new listings.

MLS members tallied 5,267 closed sales during December, outgaining the same month a year ago by 526 transactions for an increase of about 11.1 percent. The 2012 total of 64,624 closed sales was 14.8 percent higher than the volume reported for 2011.

Brokers expect the housing market rebound to continue, while cautioning sellers to refrain from becoming too greedy and expressing hope for “controlled natural growth” to sustain the recovery. They also believe distressed properties, rising rents and re-engaged investors will have an impact on activity for the foreseeable future.

Even with distressed properties (and the lower prices they usually fetch) being part of the mix of sales, median sales prices are edging up. Last month’s buyers paid more for their home than purchasers of a year ago, and the number of properties that sold for a million dollars or more jumped nearly 56 percent, rising from 68 in December 2011 to 106 last month.

The median price area-wide was $255,000, up 13.3 percent from twelve months ago when the price was $225,000. Prices rose by double digits in ten of the 21 counties in the Northwest MLS service area. Homes and condos that sold in King County commanded the highest prices at $342,000, reflecting a gain of more than 17.5 percent.

For single family homes (excluding condos), the median selling price rose $30,000 system-wide (about 12.8 percent) climbing from $235,000 a year ago to $265,000.

In King County, the median sales price of a single family home jumped nearly 18.8 percent, from $320,000 to $380,046. Within the county, the biggest increases on single family homes that sold were reported in Skyway/Bryn Mawr area (up 89.8 percent), Central Seattle (up 50.2 percent), Vashon (up 35.6 percent), Bellevue west of I-405 (up 28.6 percent) and Burien-Normandy Park (up 26.9 percent).

Prices and the number of multiple offers may be rising in part because of shrinking inventory. At the end of December, there were only 17,718 properties for sale, which compares to 26,639 active listings for the same time a year ago (down 33.5 percent). Months of supply declined to 3.3 months, down from about 5 months of supply for the same period a year ago.

Looking ahead, many brokers expect a strong market in 2013, with some expressing concern about “frenzied bubble growth.”

Another positive indicator brokers noted is improving builder confidence. It recently rose to its highest level in more than six years, according to a National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo survey released last month. Although newly built homes account for only a small portion of the housing market, they are considered to be a leading revenue and job creator. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to NAHB research.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member real estate firms, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 21,000 real estate brokers. The organization, based in Kirkland, Wash., currently serves 21 counties in Washington state.

The NWMLS plans to release its annual summary report for 2012 mid-January.  Stay tuned for details.

4-county Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (Single Family Homes + Condo combined)

(totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2000 3706 4778 5903 5116 5490 5079 4928 5432 4569 4675 4126 3166
2001 4334 5056 5722 5399 5631 5568 5434 5544 4040 4387 4155 3430
2002 4293 4735 5569 5436 6131 5212 5525 6215 5394 5777 4966 4153
2003 4746 5290 6889 6837 7148 7202 7673 7135 6698 6552 4904 4454
2004 4521 6284 8073 7910 7888 8186 7583 7464 6984 6761 6228 5195
2005 5426 6833 8801 8420 8610 8896 8207 8784 7561 7157 6188 4837
2006 5275 6032 8174 7651 8411 8094 7121 7692 6216 6403 5292 4346
2007 4869 6239 7192 6974 7311 6876 6371 5580 4153 4447 3896 2975
2008 3291 4167 4520 4624 4526 4765 4580 4584 4445 3346 2841 2432
2009 3250 3407 4262 5372 5498 5963 5551 5764 5825 5702 3829 3440
2010 4381 5211 6821 7368 4058 4239 4306 4520 4350 4376 3938 3474
2011 4272 4767 6049 5732 5963 5868 5657 5944 5299 5384 4814 4197
2012 4921 6069 7386 7015 7295 6733 6489 6341 5871 6453 5188 4181

Mercer Island Pulse: 2012 in review

The WordPress.com stats helper monkeys prepared a 2012 annual report for Mercer Island Pulse.

Here’s an excerpt:

600 people reached the top of Mt. Everest in 2012. This blog got about 10,000 views in 2012. If every person who reached the top of Mt. Everest viewed this blog, it would have taken 17 years to get that many views.

Click here to see the complete report.

Thank you so much for helping us make 2012 a great year, here at Mercer Island Pulse. Is there content you would like to see covered on here? Are there subjects we discuss you’d like to be blogged more often during 2013? Please leave your suggestions in the comment section below.

Cheers to 2013!

Good News in the Mercer Island Housing Market

Hot off the press! Our second quarter reports are out for Mercer Island, the Eastside and Seattle…for homeowners who have been beaten down by bad news over the past few years, these numbers should come as a breath of fresh air!

Mercer Island

Mercer Island enjoyed healthy sales activity during the second quarter of 2012, with both the number of sales and average sales prices showing gains over last quarter.  Condominiums saw the strongest surge, with sales up 100% over last year.  We are continuing to see a low supply of homes for sale combined with increased buyer demand, with homes selling twice as fast on average as we saw last quarter.  With interest rates currently at new all-time lows, buyer demand is expected to remain strong and keep prices stable even as banks continue to sell off their inventory of distressed properties.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics.

Full Mercer Island Report

The Eastside

The Eastside housing market fared well in the second quarter of 2012 with a healthy 21% boost in home sales compared to this time last year.  While average prices were down slightly from last year, both condo and home prices posted increases over last quarter.

Our record-low interest rates and continued buyer demand are expected to keep home values stable and overcome the downward price pressure we’ve seen from foreclosures and short sales.

Click here for the full report and area-by-area statistics.

Seattle

The Seattle housing market showed strong momentum in the second quarter of 2012, with the number of single-family home sales up 13.6% from this time last year. Condo sales also saw a huge 32% boost in sales compared to Q2 of 2011. Prices remained stable and even increased modestly compared to last quarter.

We are continuing to see a low supply of homes for sale combined with increased buyer demand. With interest rates currently at new all-time lows, buyer demand is expected to remain strong and keep prices stable even as banks continue to sell off their inventory of distressed properties.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics.

Full Seattle Report

December 2011 Stats Are Out

The most notable aspect of the December 2011 stats is the continued trend toward high pending sales volume despite the softening of sales prices. Listing inventory is down markedly compared to inventory levels for the past three years in the month of December. With interest rates below 4% buyer interest has remained very strong and multiple offers are not unheard of–albeit at much more modest prices than in years past. Having been burned once, buyers are cautious of overpaying and are negotiating for a fail-safe price.

2011-12 Summary

2011-12 Mercer Island

2011-12 Eastside

2011-12 Seattle Metro

2011-12 King County

October is Mixed Bag for the Island

October’s stats contain the good, the bad and the ugly!

The good: inventory is down 58% from the same time last year, the Average Sale Price is higher, $/sq ft is higher, and the absorption rate is holding steady.

The bad: Pending sales are down 20% from a year ago, the gap between original list price and sale price is larger (83% as compared to 88%) and the # of months inventory on the market has grown to 10.3 months.

The ugly; Closed sales totaled out at a meager 11 as compared to 26 in October 2010.

September Real Estate Statistics

September turned out to be another solid month for real estate on Mercer Island and in the surrounding communities–continuing the trend for 2011.

Summer Bodes Well for Residential Real Estate

Mercer Island, Seattle, the Eastside and King County all posted strong gains in number of units sold over those of the prior year. In fact, residential sales met, or in most cases, far exceeded the volume of any July over the last four years.

While unit sales have risen dramatically, sales prices continue to be badgered by local short sales, foreclosures and bank-owned properties, many of which are coming to market in reasonably good condition. We continue to see signs that our market is in the early stages of recovery and are reminded that we are faring much better than most markets across the country. We expect to enjoy a robust Fall market across the Northwest this year.

May a Robust Month for the Island

Pending sales continue to be a driving force in the market with May sales on the island up 77.4% over those of a year ago. The market has become much more balanced with many more sellers coming to market and selling within a very reasonable market time. Buyers are seizing the opportunity to gain from both bottom of the market home prices and very low interest rates. Statistically speaking, prices have remained steady. However, some pockets of homes and neighborhoods have seen price increases due to demand.

April Shapes Up to be a Solid Month

April turned out to be a remarkable real estate month for Mercer Island. The Island performed much better than the Eastside, Seattle or King County as a whole. For the month of April, active inventory was at its lowest and pending sales at their highest in any of the last 4 years. Average $ per sq.ft., a stable market indicator, was $392/sq ft–up from a low of $289/sq ft in 2010. The months of inventory for sale (4.6) and the absorption rate (30.2) were are their best levels in the past four years. Only time will tell if this is a lasting trend, but certainly it was a fabulous month for Island sales–even considering that we no longer have a home buyer tax stimulus credit as has existed for the last few years.

March Sales Activity is Strong!

The attached report should brighten your day just a little!  I did a four year history this time to show just how much our market has changed. Nice to see that all market areas are on par with or better than 1 year ago on almost every level. That is quite a feat considering the percentage of sales spurred by the housing stimulus tax credit a year ago.

The Absorption Rate based on pending sales, one of the leading indicators of the overall health of our market, is up across all markets. This is real, non-stimulus created growth!!!