2012 Year in Review

Drum roll please…..

The 2012 Year in Review Reports for Mercer Island, Seattle and the Eastside are now available to preview! To read the full synopsis for each market, please click here. These Reviews contain some pretty positive news regarding each market. Brisk sales were reported across the board, despite the record low inventories in all three markets. We hope you find the information contained within these reports valuable and helpful as you examine our region’s housing market.

Annual Reports:

Click to view year-end real estate reviews for Mercer Island, Seattle and The Eastside.

P.S. The Mercer Island Patch did a nice write up about Windermere Real Estate / Mercer Island’s Year in Review for the island. Thank you!

NWMLS Press Release (1/7/13): Local Real Estate Markets Brisk For A December, Even With Seasonal Slowing

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The Northwest Multiple Listing Service sent out their monthly press release on Jan. 7th 2013. Below are details from the release, including the 4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales Table. To read the press release in its entirely, click here.

Home buyers around western Washington made offers on 5,314 residences during December, outnumbering the 3,857 owners who listed their homes for sale. The imbalance helped push up prices and further thin already depleted inventory.

While the expected seasonal slowdown occurred last month, determined buyers were undaunted by sparse inventory and record-breaking rainy days, according to December statistics from Northwest Multiple Listing Service.

MLS members reported 5,314 pending sales of single family homes and condominiums last month for a modest year-over-year increase of 1.5 percent. That volume of mutually accepted offers fell from November’s total of 6,522, but far exceeded the number of new listings, 3,857, that members added to the MLS system during December. It also marked an unprecedented fourth straight month when pending sales outnumbered new listings.

MLS members tallied 5,267 closed sales during December, outgaining the same month a year ago by 526 transactions for an increase of about 11.1 percent. The 2012 total of 64,624 closed sales was 14.8 percent higher than the volume reported for 2011.

Brokers expect the housing market rebound to continue, while cautioning sellers to refrain from becoming too greedy and expressing hope for “controlled natural growth” to sustain the recovery. They also believe distressed properties, rising rents and re-engaged investors will have an impact on activity for the foreseeable future.

Even with distressed properties (and the lower prices they usually fetch) being part of the mix of sales, median sales prices are edging up. Last month’s buyers paid more for their home than purchasers of a year ago, and the number of properties that sold for a million dollars or more jumped nearly 56 percent, rising from 68 in December 2011 to 106 last month.

The median price area-wide was $255,000, up 13.3 percent from twelve months ago when the price was $225,000. Prices rose by double digits in ten of the 21 counties in the Northwest MLS service area. Homes and condos that sold in King County commanded the highest prices at $342,000, reflecting a gain of more than 17.5 percent.

For single family homes (excluding condos), the median selling price rose $30,000 system-wide (about 12.8 percent) climbing from $235,000 a year ago to $265,000.

In King County, the median sales price of a single family home jumped nearly 18.8 percent, from $320,000 to $380,046. Within the county, the biggest increases on single family homes that sold were reported in Skyway/Bryn Mawr area (up 89.8 percent), Central Seattle (up 50.2 percent), Vashon (up 35.6 percent), Bellevue west of I-405 (up 28.6 percent) and Burien-Normandy Park (up 26.9 percent).

Prices and the number of multiple offers may be rising in part because of shrinking inventory. At the end of December, there were only 17,718 properties for sale, which compares to 26,639 active listings for the same time a year ago (down 33.5 percent). Months of supply declined to 3.3 months, down from about 5 months of supply for the same period a year ago.

Looking ahead, many brokers expect a strong market in 2013, with some expressing concern about “frenzied bubble growth.”

Another positive indicator brokers noted is improving builder confidence. It recently rose to its highest level in more than six years, according to a National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo survey released last month. Although newly built homes account for only a small portion of the housing market, they are considered to be a leading revenue and job creator. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to NAHB research.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member real estate firms, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 21,000 real estate brokers. The organization, based in Kirkland, Wash., currently serves 21 counties in Washington state.

The NWMLS plans to release its annual summary report for 2012 mid-January.  Stay tuned for details.

4-county Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (Single Family Homes + Condo combined)

(totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2000 3706 4778 5903 5116 5490 5079 4928 5432 4569 4675 4126 3166
2001 4334 5056 5722 5399 5631 5568 5434 5544 4040 4387 4155 3430
2002 4293 4735 5569 5436 6131 5212 5525 6215 5394 5777 4966 4153
2003 4746 5290 6889 6837 7148 7202 7673 7135 6698 6552 4904 4454
2004 4521 6284 8073 7910 7888 8186 7583 7464 6984 6761 6228 5195
2005 5426 6833 8801 8420 8610 8896 8207 8784 7561 7157 6188 4837
2006 5275 6032 8174 7651 8411 8094 7121 7692 6216 6403 5292 4346
2007 4869 6239 7192 6974 7311 6876 6371 5580 4153 4447 3896 2975
2008 3291 4167 4520 4624 4526 4765 4580 4584 4445 3346 2841 2432
2009 3250 3407 4262 5372 5498 5963 5551 5764 5825 5702 3829 3440
2010 4381 5211 6821 7368 4058 4239 4306 4520 4350 4376 3938 3474
2011 4272 4767 6049 5732 5963 5868 5657 5944 5299 5384 4814 4197
2012 4921 6069 7386 7015 7295 6733 6489 6341 5871 6453 5188 4181

Local Real Estate Websites Have Better Pulse On Homes For Sale

There’s been a lot of  buzz about local consumerism — the 100 mile diet, frequenting farmers markets, sourcing from local small businesses … Yet, have you ever considered that being a savvy local consumer should also encompass utilizing local real estate websites rather than national portals?

Last week, The WAV Group published their findings from a study comparing local real estate websites Redfin, Long & Foster, and Windermere, against the national sites Zillow and Trulia. The results are very eye-opening. The sample group used in the study included 6,401 home listings, located in 33 ZIP codes from 11 U.U. metropolitan areas. The national portals’ returns indicated that Trulia displayed 81%, and Zillow 79%, of agent-listed homes for sale in the sample group. Conversely, Redfin, Long & Foster, and Windermere’s websites contained 100% of the agent-listed homes for sale.

In addition, the WAV Group discovered that 36% of the agent-listed homes shown as active on Zillow, and 37% of those on Trulia, were no longer for sale on the local multiple listing services. However, the three local real estate website almost never display homes no longer for sale as active listings.

The WAV Group also examined how quickly it took each website to display new listings. The local real estate websites displayed new active listings for sale seven to nine days earlier than the two national portals.

Windermere’s President, O.B. Jacobi, shared in a New York Times post about the study that “consumers should be aware that local real estate Web sites provide the most complete view of properties for sale.” Local real estate brokerage websites, like Windermere.com, are the place for buyers and seller to go for the most complete, and accurate, information regarding homes currently for sale.

Good News in the Mercer Island Housing Market

Hot off the press! Our second quarter reports are out for Mercer Island, the Eastside and Seattle…for homeowners who have been beaten down by bad news over the past few years, these numbers should come as a breath of fresh air!

Mercer Island

Mercer Island enjoyed healthy sales activity during the second quarter of 2012, with both the number of sales and average sales prices showing gains over last quarter.  Condominiums saw the strongest surge, with sales up 100% over last year.  We are continuing to see a low supply of homes for sale combined with increased buyer demand, with homes selling twice as fast on average as we saw last quarter.  With interest rates currently at new all-time lows, buyer demand is expected to remain strong and keep prices stable even as banks continue to sell off their inventory of distressed properties.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics.

Full Mercer Island Report

The Eastside

The Eastside housing market fared well in the second quarter of 2012 with a healthy 21% boost in home sales compared to this time last year.  While average prices were down slightly from last year, both condo and home prices posted increases over last quarter.

Our record-low interest rates and continued buyer demand are expected to keep home values stable and overcome the downward price pressure we’ve seen from foreclosures and short sales.

Click here for the full report and area-by-area statistics.

Seattle

The Seattle housing market showed strong momentum in the second quarter of 2012, with the number of single-family home sales up 13.6% from this time last year. Condo sales also saw a huge 32% boost in sales compared to Q2 of 2011. Prices remained stable and even increased modestly compared to last quarter.

We are continuing to see a low supply of homes for sale combined with increased buyer demand. With interest rates currently at new all-time lows, buyer demand is expected to remain strong and keep prices stable even as banks continue to sell off their inventory of distressed properties.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics.

Full Seattle Report

The Gardner Report for Western Washington’s 1st Quarter 2012– Both Positive and Realistic

Windermere Real Estate is proud to partner with Gardner Economics to create an analysis of the Western Washington real estate market for the first quarter of 2012.

Matthew Gardner, principal at Gardner Economics, stated that “location” is the most appropriate theme for this first quarter analysis. Depending on the location in Western Washington, the signs of recovery for both the job market and real estate market varied. However, to quote Gardner, “…we have come out of the free fall and are starting up the long road to recovery on both the job front as well as in our real estate markets.” Between March 2011 and March 2012, 54,230 jobs were added in the counties examined for the report. That is a 2.58% growth rate, exceeding the growth rate of Washington State as a whole and the United States average.

While not all the counties experienced job growth — 9 of the counties examined did, while 7 experienced a decline to their employment base — compared to this time last year the statistics show definite improvement. The 3 counties which saw the most employment growth were Snohomish, King and Whatcom. The growth rate we’re seeing in our regional employment base right now is not a rate that Gardner sees as sustainable, so he chose to give the current employment situation in Western Washington a “B-” grade. This is up some from his last assessment, and is at a grade level Gardner sees as maintainable with our current economic trends.

The sales of existing homes in Western Washington saw a growth of 13.7 percent when compared to the first quarter of 2011. The counties which experienced the biggest gain were Mason, San Juan, Snohomish , Pierce, and King. When examining sale price numbers for the region, it appears that there was a 4.5% decline in price over the 1st quarter of 2011. However, the mercurial stats from San Juan County greatly skewed the data. Remove those numbers from the aggregate and home prices in Western Washington actually rose by 2.9% year-over-year.

Short sales and foreclosures are still a formidable force in the market, and their presence has been keeping home prices lower. While it’s difficult to continue to deal with these distressed properties, Gardner discusses how it’s part and parcel of the process of recovery.

“Getting through this inventory is a process, and it can be a painful one. That said, it is an important part of any recovery. We know that the percentage of “all cash” sales are far higher than we have ever seen, which indicates to me that investors are now buying, and this will likely help in depleting this inventory.” ~Matthew Gardner

Gardner again stresses location when discussing recovery. Depending on how close the county is to economic centers, and how much growth home sales saw in yesteryear, will impact how quickly counties will see more of an increase in home prices. And while recovery signs are positive in so many local markets, Gardner rates Western Washington’s real estate market at a “C” grade this quarter. The low inventory, in his opinion, greatly affects the health of the market and he does not see an improvement of his assessment until there is a larger inventory of homes available for sale.

The take away from Gardner’s 1st quarter report of Western Washington is we have come a long way to climb out of the hole the recession left in our job and real estate markets, however we still have work to be done. Gardner states “We are not out of the woods yet, but the forecast is a positive one.” Please take some time to read the full report on Neighborly News. It’s well worth your time– his analysis is insightful and he shares several graphs to illustrate his points.

“Overall, I am still looking to 2012 as the year that we emerge from the recession and, in our own inimitable Washingtonian manner, stride forward in the belief that the way ahead is a good one. (After all, who else wears shorts when it’s 50 degrees outside?)” ~Matthew Gardner

Waterfront Activity Report for the Week of 2/24/2012

Waterfront Activity Report for the Week of 2/24/2012.

2011 Mercer Island Year in Review — Full Report

Yesterday you were able to see a sneak peek of the 2011 Mercer Island Year in Review. Today, you can access the report here. Plus, you can also read the 2011 year in review for Seattle and the Eastside.

Of the year’s sales, 88 were above $1,000,000 while only 15 were below $500,000. Bank-owned and short sales made up only 10% of the sales in 2011—one of the region’s lowest ratios of distressed property sales.

~ Excerpt from 2011 Mercer Island Year in Review

December 2011 Stats Are Out

The most notable aspect of the December 2011 stats is the continued trend toward high pending sales volume despite the softening of sales prices. Listing inventory is down markedly compared to inventory levels for the past three years in the month of December. With interest rates below 4% buyer interest has remained very strong and multiple offers are not unheard of–albeit at much more modest prices than in years past. Having been burned once, buyers are cautious of overpaying and are negotiating for a fail-safe price.

2011-12 Summary

2011-12 Mercer Island

2011-12 Eastside

2011-12 Seattle Metro

2011-12 King County

October is Mixed Bag for the Island

October’s stats contain the good, the bad and the ugly!

The good: inventory is down 58% from the same time last year, the Average Sale Price is higher, $/sq ft is higher, and the absorption rate is holding steady.

The bad: Pending sales are down 20% from a year ago, the gap between original list price and sale price is larger (83% as compared to 88%) and the # of months inventory on the market has grown to 10.3 months.

The ugly; Closed sales totaled out at a meager 11 as compared to 26 in October 2010.

September Real Estate Statistics

September turned out to be another solid month for real estate on Mercer Island and in the surrounding communities–continuing the trend for 2011.