NWMLS Press Release (4/4/13): Prices “spiking” as home buyers compete for scarce inventory

The Northwest Multiple Listing Service sent out their monthly press release on April 4th 2013. Below are details from the release, including a 4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales Table for March 2013. To read the press release in its entirety, click here.

MC900432680Brokers added 9,332 new listings to the Northwest Multiple Listing Service database during March, but pending sales topped that number to further crimp inventory and trigger competitive bidding among buyers who are flocking to open houses.

Northwest MLS figures show year-over-year prices jumped 14.9 percent for the 21 counties in its service area. The median price for last month’s closed sales of single family homes and condominiums (combined) was $258,500, rising from $225,000 for the same month a year ago. Twelve counties reported double-digit gains, led by Ferry (up 70.9 percent), San Juan (up 47.3 percent), and Island (up 36.1 percent).

Prices for single family homes increased 14.3 percent, while the median sales price for condos, which accounted for about 12 percent of sales, surged 19.6 percent. Two-thirds of last month’s condo sales were in King County; prices there leaped 28.6 percent, increasing from $175,000 to $225,000. The price of a single family home that sold in King County jumped from $330,000 to $392,000 (up 18.8 percent).

Brokers reported 5,745 closed sales last month for a 13.9 percent increase from the previous year when they tallied 5,044 completed transactions.

“The market continues to be incredibly competitive with at least one in four buyers paying cash,” noted MLS director OB Jacobi. “For those not paying cash, the average down payment is between 20 percent and 50 percent,” he added.

Jacobi, the president of Windermere Real Estate Company in Seattle also reported the vast majority of home sales right now have multiple offers, and “it’s no longer restricted to the urban markets — the outlying areas are now experiencing the same thing.”

Brokers say even distressed sellers are receiving multiple offers for their homes.

“As one of my brokers told me, when you have 12 offers on a short sale, it pushes the price of the home up to market value. This is clearly reflected in the appreciation we continue to see in prices across the board,” Jacobi stated.

Inventory is depleted area-wide, with only 18,500 active listings in the MLS system at month end. That total is down by almost 6,400 listings year-over-year for a 25.7 percent drop. Counties with the largest declines include Clark (down 46 percent), Snohomish (down 43.8 percent) and King (down 42.4 percent).

System-wide, there is less than a two-month supply of homes, with the tightest selection in Snohomish (0.93 months), King (1.03 months), Clark (1.81 months) and Pierce (1.68 months) counties. In general, analysts consider four-to-six months of supply to be normal.

Pending sales are mirroring the shifts in market conditions. Volume area-wide was up only 3.9 percent from a year ago, rising from 9,126 mutually accepted offers to 9,482.

Five counties – Ferry, Grays Harbor, Island, King, and Snohomish — reported fewer pending sales than a year ago, likely a consequence of the limited selection.

Northwest Multiple Listing Service, owned by its member real estate firms, is the largest full-service MLS in the Northwest. Its membership includes more than 21,000 real estate brokers. The organization, based in Kirkland, Wash., currently serves 21 counties in Washington state.

March 2013 Puget Sound egion Pending Sales

2012 Year in Review

Drum roll please…..

The 2012 Year in Review Reports for Mercer Island, Seattle and the Eastside are now available to preview! To read the full synopsis for each market, please click here. These Reviews contain some pretty positive news regarding each market. Brisk sales were reported across the board, despite the record low inventories in all three markets. We hope you find the information contained within these reports valuable and helpful as you examine our region’s housing market.

Annual Reports:

Click to view year-end real estate reviews for Mercer Island, Seattle and The Eastside.

P.S. The Mercer Island Patch did a nice write up about Windermere Real Estate / Mercer Island’s Year in Review for the island. Thank you!

Sneak Peek at Mercer Island’s 2012 Year in Review

How do real estate companies ring in the New Year? For many, it involves the compilation of annual reports detailing the productivity of the housing market during the past year. Windermere Real Estate / Mercer Island is proud to participate in this annual process. We want to provide local homeowners and potential home-buyers with accurate, specific statistics regarding the performance within the Mercer Island real estate market over the past 12 months. Owner Julie Barrows personally compiles the statistics. She spends time carefully analyzing all the data, utilizing her 27 years of local real estate experience, 15 of those years spent right here on Mercer Island, to guide her through this endeavor.

Every year, Julie and Windermere Mercer Island shares this helpful information with the Mercer Island community by mailing out the Year in Review report. While this document is still in the production stage, below are some 2012 stats to whet your appetite:

YIR Sneak peek

Also for you to draw comparisons, below are the number of Single family home sales on Mercer Island for the past 15 years. 2012 had the potential for more home sales, however the low inventory of listings here on Mercer Island stymied many buyers eager to purchase a home.

  • 2012: 297
  • 2011: 261
  • 2010: 220
  • 2009: 173
  • 2008: 188
  • 2007: 301
  • 2006: 329
  • 2005: 369
  • 2004: 384
  • 2003: 339
  • 2002: 289
  • 2001: 245
  • 2000: 287
  • 1999: 372
  • 1998: 330

Windermere Mercer Island also produces a Year in Review for the housing markets in Seattle and on the Eastside. Stay tuned here at Mercer Island Pluse, and on Weekly Property Report, for more details!

The Continuing Discussion of Rent vs Buy

Trulia released a report today which takes another look at the Rent vs Buy conversation. Trulia analyzed the last 3 months of rental and home purchase data for the 100 largest US metro areas. Trulia concluded that with the current home price averages, low fixed interest rate and how much rent prices have increased in the past year, it’s cheaper to buy than rent is all 100 metros— under certain conditions. In 96 of the 100 areas examined, it’s still cheaper to buy even with the least desirable scenario Trulia used for their calculations.

There was certain criteria Trulia included in their analysis:

1) Trulia looked at both rentals and homes for sale listed on their site for June, July and August 2012. They then calculated how much the rental homes would probably sell for, and conversely they estimated how much homes for sale would rent for. The goal of calculating this data was for Trulia to be able to create a “direct apples-to-apples comparison.”

2) Trulia calculated the total cost of both renting a home and owning a home over a 7 year period, including the consideration of tying up your money in a down payment.

3) Trulia then analyzed different scenarios regarding the costs of renting versus buying. They changed up the mortgage rate, the income tax bracket for tax deductions, and time period of renting/owning the home.

In all 100 metros, it was cheaper to rent than buy under the best case scenario Trulia used in their calculations (20% down payment, 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 3.5%, buyer at 25% federal tax bracket and owning the home for at least 7 years). The report discusses how influential each of these elements were in determining the cost percentage between renting versus buying. For example, when Trulia compared the data of locking in at a 4.5% fixed mortgage, not itemizing your tax return and only staying in the home for 5 years, buying was actually more expensive than renting in 4 of the metro areas!

So, if buying a home is a much better deal for all these areas– why aren’t more people purchasing homes? The down payment is the largest hurdle for home buyers, according to the Trulia report. If buying a home is a goal of yours, speaking with a real estate broker will give you a better idea of how to deal with the down payment hurdle. The real estate broker can help answer the questions you have on how to make your dream of owning a home a reality.

You can read the full Trulia report here. The report is accompanied by an interactive infographic based on the data Trulia calculated for each of the largest US metro areas.

Mercer Island Year in Review Sneak Peek

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Mercer Island’s Windermere Real Estate year in review states that sales volume was up 19 percent over 2010, with more Island homes sold than during any year since 2007.

To whet your real estate data appetite, read more about the upcoming Windermere R.E. / Mercer Island 2011 Year in Review here. Stay tuned, island residents, for details when the Year in Review will be mailed out.

December 2011 Stats Are Out

The most notable aspect of the December 2011 stats is the continued trend toward high pending sales volume despite the softening of sales prices. Listing inventory is down markedly compared to inventory levels for the past three years in the month of December. With interest rates below 4% buyer interest has remained very strong and multiple offers are not unheard of–albeit at much more modest prices than in years past. Having been burned once, buyers are cautious of overpaying and are negotiating for a fail-safe price.

2011-12 Summary

2011-12 Mercer Island

2011-12 Eastside

2011-12 Seattle Metro

2011-12 King County

October is Mixed Bag for the Island

October’s stats contain the good, the bad and the ugly!

The good: inventory is down 58% from the same time last year, the Average Sale Price is higher, $/sq ft is higher, and the absorption rate is holding steady.

The bad: Pending sales are down 20% from a year ago, the gap between original list price and sale price is larger (83% as compared to 88%) and the # of months inventory on the market has grown to 10.3 months.

The ugly; Closed sales totaled out at a meager 11 as compared to 26 in October 2010.

Historical Mortgage Interest Rate Chart

Many recent visitors to Mercer Island Pulse have navigated here because they are looking for information regarding mortgage interest rates.

We really appreciate your visits and hope you find much value in the information you read at Mercer Island Pulse. Here is some more data regarding mortgage interest rates. Above is a chart showing Q3 results for fixed, 30-year mortgage interest rates since 1981, courtesy of Amanda Winn* at Windermere Mortgage Services. It’s amazing to see the reduction of the interest rate over the last year, and compare it to previous decades. Click on the image to bring up a larger version of the chart, which is easy to read.

Freddie Mac also has charts for each year, each broken into months, showing what was the fixed, 30-year mortgage rate for each month since 1971. The charts also display an annual average for each year.

*Amanda Winn, awinn@windermere.com, 425.273.1212

September Real Estate Statistics

September turned out to be another solid month for real estate on Mercer Island and in the surrounding communities–continuing the trend for 2011.

Summer Bodes Well for Residential Real Estate

Mercer Island, Seattle, the Eastside and King County all posted strong gains in number of units sold over those of the prior year. In fact, residential sales met, or in most cases, far exceeded the volume of any July over the last four years.

While unit sales have risen dramatically, sales prices continue to be badgered by local short sales, foreclosures and bank-owned properties, many of which are coming to market in reasonably good condition. We continue to see signs that our market is in the early stages of recovery and are reminded that we are faring much better than most markets across the country. We expect to enjoy a robust Fall market across the Northwest this year.